The county-by-county data on Trump voters shows why he won

Loren Collingwood - Washington Post

November 19, 2016



In trying to explain Donald Trump’s stunning victory last week, observers have offered numerous explanations.


He won by running up the vote among people without college degrees. He succeeded by appealing to racial resentment. He profited from economic decline in rural parts of the Midwest. He capitalized on a mix of economic anxiety, racism and sexism among his supporters.


My analysis suggests that education was an especially strong predictor of the vote, with race and economic distress — particularly declines in manufacturing — playing important, yet somewhat less influential, roles.

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